MacroLab
Advanced Indicators
Advanced Indicators·QuarterlyComputed

Buffett Indicator

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About this indicator

Total US corporate equity market value (Fed Z.1) as a percentage of nominal GDP — Warren Buffett's preferred market valuation metric. Below 80% historically = strong buy; above 120% = caution; above 150% = overvalued. Hit a record ~210% in late 2021.

Frequency
Quarterly
Updated every quarter
Formula
NCBEILQ027S ÷ GDP
FRED series used in this computation
Unit
%
Index level or absolute value

This indicator is computed by MacroLab from two FRED series: NCBEILQ027S divided by GDP, scaled by × 100. Both input series are sourced from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database.

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